The prediction specified that the U.S. Federal Reserve would release its investigation into both Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) in early May 2023.

What actually happened:

• Silicon Valley Bank (SVB): The Federal Reserve did conduct and publish a review of its own supervision and regulation of SVB. This report was released on April 28, 2023, via a Fed Board press release and accompanying report, i.e., slightly before early May but clearly within the predicted timeframe. (federalreserve.gov)

• Signature Bank: The main post‑mortem on Signature’s failure and supervision was not published by the Federal Reserve. Instead, it was released by the FDIC ("FDIC’s Supervision of Signature Bank") on April 28, 2023, and by the New York Department of Financial Services. (fdic.gov) The Fed’s own June 2023 Monetary Policy Report explicitly distinguishes these: it notes that on April 28, 2023 the Federal Reserve published the SVB review, while the FDIC published the report examining the failure of Signature Bank. (federalreserve.gov)

So, while investigation reports into both banks were indeed public by late April 2023, only SVB’s report came from the Federal Reserve. Signature’s investigation was led and released by different regulators (FDIC and NYDFS), contradicting the prediction’s specific claim that “the Fed will release their investigation into Signature Bank and SVB.”

Because a core element of the prediction (the Federal Reserve itself investigating and releasing a report on Signature Bank) did not occur, the prediction is best assessed as wrong, even though the timing for the SVB portion was roughly correct.