Chamath @ 01:08:55Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
At some future point, a Senate majority leader will eliminate the filibuster (or effectively neutralize it), allowing the majority to pass measures with a simple majority vote instead of 60 votes.
I do think the filibuster is going to go away… I think somebody will eventually get impatient and just steamroll this thing.
Explanation
As of November 30, 2025, the U.S. Senate has not eliminated the legislative filibuster; the 60-vote cloture rule for most legislation still applies. However, Chamath’s prediction is explicitly about “some future point” with no time bound, so we cannot yet judge it as right or wrong.
Key facts:
- The Senate nuclear option has previously been used only for nominations: Democrats in 2013 ended the filibuster for most executive and judicial nominees (not Supreme Court), and Republicans in 2017 extended this to Supreme Court nominees. The legislative filibuster, requiring 60 votes for cloture on most bills, remained in place after those changes.
- Searches of 2024–2025 news and Congressional records show no rule change abolishing or effectively neutralizing the filibuster for ordinary legislation; high-profile fights (e.g., over voting rights, abortion, and budget issues) continued to acknowledge the 60-vote requirement.
Because Chamath predicted that eventually a Senate majority leader will “steamroll” the filibuster, and because that event has not yet occurred but also could still occur in the future, the correct status as of now is “inconclusive (too early)”, not right or wrong.