Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
Chamath @ 01:07:44Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
The U.S. Senate filibuster rule will eventually be abolished; it will not persist indefinitely in its current form.
I think that the filibuster, it's just a matter of time. I think it's on borrowed time.
Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, the U.S. Senate’s legislative filibuster rule (the 60‑vote cloture requirement for most legislation) is still in place and has not been abolished. However, Chamath’s prediction is explicitly open‑ended (“just a matter of time,” “on borrowed time”), with no time horizon given. Because he’s predicting an eventual change at some unspecified point in the future, we cannot yet say whether it will ultimately prove right or wrong; we can only say that it has not come true yet.

Given the lack of a deadline or concrete timeframe, the appropriate status is that it’s too early to evaluate the prediction’s correctness, even though the filibuster still exists as of now. Therefore, the prediction is marked as inconclusive rather than right or wrong.