Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
Chamath @ 01:14:26Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
David Sacks will become U.S. Secretary of State within the tenure of the next two or three U.S. presidential administrations following October 2022 (i.e., by the end of the third presidency after Biden’s).
I'll go long that David Sacks will be our secretary of state within 2 or 3 presidents.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, David Sacks has not been U.S. Secretary of State under President Biden or any subsequent administration, and there has been no reporting that he has been nominated to that role. Public lists of U.S. Secretaries of State and current cabinet officials do not include him.

However, Chamath’s prediction is explicitly about a long time horizon: "within 2 or 3 presidents" after the moment of prediction in October 2022 (i.e., by the end of the third presidential administration after Biden’s). Since the U.S. has not yet cycled through two or three full presidential administrations after Biden as of 2025, the prediction’s time window has not expired.

Therefore, it is too early to determine if this prediction will ultimately be correct, even though it is currently not on track.