BEA data show that after contracting in the first half of 2022 (real GDP −1.6% in Q1 and −0.6% in Q2),(apps.bea.gov) a period widely described as a ‘technical recession’ because of the two consecutive negative quarters,(rabobank.com) real GDP then returned to growth. It grew at annualized rates of about 2.9% in Q3 2022,(bea.gov) 2.6% in Q4 2022,(apps.bea.gov) and 2.0% in Q1 2023.(bea.gov) Thus, the US did not experience one or two quarters of real GDP contraction starting in late 2022 or early 2023 as Chamath specified; the only back‑to‑back contractions occurred earlier in 2022, outside his stated late‑2022/early‑2023 window. Because the prediction’s timing is integral to its content and that timing did not materialize, this forecast is judged wrong.