Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
politics
E predictor (likely Chamath/Friedberg context-dependent, but labeled E) maintains the prediction that Joe Biden will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
I'm still sticking with Biden.View on YouTube
Explanation

Joe Biden won the 2020 U.S. presidential election, defeating incumbent President Donald Trump. Major news outlets and the official Electoral College results confirm that Biden secured 306 electoral votes to Trump’s 232, and he was inaugurated as the 46th President of the United States on January 20, 2021.

Since Chamath’s prediction was that Biden would win and this did in fact occur, the prediction is right.